From media
Die USA haben schon verloren
Donald Trump drohen im Irankrieg schwere Niederlagen – militärisch, wirtschaftlich und strategisch. Damit schadet der US-Präsident seinem Land auch langfristig.
https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-03/usa-iran-krieg-nahost-israel
Die Methode Trump stößt an ihre Grenzen
Mit jedem Tag wird klarer, dass der US-Präsident keinen Plan für den Iran hat. Es droht ein Energiepreisschock, die Märkte sind in Aufruhr. Von dem Chaos profitieren Russland und China.
https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/international/iran-krieg-die-methode-trump-stoesst-an-ihre-grenzen/100207190.html
As the conflict has roiled global markets, Republicans in Washington have grown concerned about rising oil prices damaging their efforts to sell an economic agenda to voters ahead of the midterm elections.
Mr. Trump, both publicly and privately, has been arguing that Venezuelan oil could help solve any shocks coming from the Iran war. The administration announced on Tuesday a new refinery in Texas that officials said could help increase oil supply, ensuring that Iran does not cause any long-term damage to oil markets.
A Potential Off-Ramp
The confidence that White House officials had that the shipping lanes could stay open is surprising given that Mr. Trump authorized a military campaign last year against the Houthis, a Yemeni group backed by Iran, that had used missile and drone attacks to bring maritime commerce in the Red Sea to a halt.
...
The search for pathways out of the war has gained urgency since the weekend, as global oil prices surge and as the United States burns through costly munitions. Pentagon officials said in recent closed-door briefings on Capitol Hill that the military used up $5.6 billion of munitions in the first two days of the war alone, according to three congressional officials. That is a far larger amount and munitions burn rate than had been publicly disclosed. The Washington Post reported on the figure on Monday.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/10/us/politics/how-trump-miscalculated-iran-response.html
The Pentagon and National Security Council significantly underestimated Iran’s willingness to close the Strait of Hormuz in response to US military strikes while planning the ongoing operation, according to multiple sources familiar with the matter.
President Donald Trump’s national security team failed to fully account for the potential consequences of what some officials have described as a worst-case scenario now facing the administration, the sources said.
While key officials from the Departments of Energy and Treasury were present for some of the official planning meetings about the operation before it started, sources said, the agency analysis and forecasts that would be integral elements of the decision-making process in past administrations were secondary considerations.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Energy Secretary Chris Wright have been key players throughout the planning and execution stages of the conflict, the sources acknowledged. But Trump’s preference of leaning on a tight circle of close advisers in his national security decision making had the effect of sidelining interagency debate over the potential economic fallout if Iran were to respond to US-Israeli strikes by closing the strait.
....
But there was no indication that there were any near-term solutions to the problem that threatened to consume the international economy given the scale of the threat still posed by Iranian assets in and around the strait, the sources familiar said.
The reason the administration underestimated Iran’s willingness to close the strait, multiple sources said, was officials believed their doing so would hurt Iran more than the US — a view that was bolstered by Iran’s empty threats to act in the strait after US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities last summer.
https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/12/politics/hormuz-trump-administration-underestimated-iranDie Methode Trump stößt an ihre Grenzen
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