WAR COULD REACH USA WILL MAR A LAGO, CREEK ISLAND BECOME TARGETS
Venezuela s newly formed government said it would resist Trump s aggression, activating a strategic partnership with Russia and backed by and China
In response, Trump has threatened a second wave of attacks, bringing the world close to war.
The most likely outcome of a conflict is total defeat for the USA.
Although the Pentagon has assembled a formidable military force, including warships, a nuclear submarine, and strategic bombers, near Venezuela under the guise of an anti-narcotics mission, these assets cannot defend against Russian and Chinese hypersonic missiles.
All the US aircraft carriers can be sunk in 20 minutes by Chinese hypersonic missiles as the Pentagon warned. The US will lose a war with China, according to recent assessments.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/china-could-sink-entire-us-carrier-fleet-in-20-minutes-pentagon-chief-warns/ar-AA1CSCE3?ocid=msedgdhp&apiversion=v2&noservercache=1&domshim=1&renderwebcomponents=1&wcseo=1&batchservertelemetry=1&noservertelemetry=1
That means a few hypersonic missiles can sink ships like the Iwo Jima and the aircraft carrier USS Gerald Ford now off Venezuela, something that will demonstrate how US coercive power has ended.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CM-pd7aWMQo
But hypersonic missiles could also reach US territory itself with Trump residence Mar a Lago well within range.
The attack on Venezuela is also the last straw for Trump s base and may lead to the overthrow of his adminsitration amid the Epstein scandal and affordability crisis.
https://www.thedailybeast.com/trumps-war-on-venezuela-is-last-straw-for-america-first-maga/
Utah Republican Senator Mike Lee posted on social media: "I want to know, in the absence of a declaration of war or authorization for the use of military force, what constitutional basis exists to justify this action?"
The attack failed to deal a strategic blow.
But it did spread fear that Trump would try similar tactics to overthrow Iran and other BRICS governments.
Russia ushed arms to Iran to help it resist a possible attack by the US and Israel and the overthrow of Khameni.
Media report that at least four Russian Il‑76 military cargo aircraft landed in Tehran within 48 hours, reportedly ferrying Russian and Chinese‑origin military cargo.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xTRKkjA-Fw8
Maduro s capture failed to decapitate the government and change the policies.
A commentator in The Guardian said the view that "the 2025 Nobel peace prizewinner María Corina Machado, will swiftly return and that full democracy will now be restored is naive. ...
Trump’s reckless action should finally lay to rest his always misleading characterisation of himself as a “global peacemaker”. It’s high time Keir Starmer and other European leaders publicly recognise him for what he is – a global warmaker, a universal menace.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/jan/03/illegal-coup-venezuela-donald-trump-peace-war
He continued to call the attack an illegal coup on Venezuela.
"The overthrow and reported capture by invading US forces of Nicolas Maduro, Venezuela’s hardline socialist president, will send a shiver of fear and consternation around the world. The coup is illegal, unprovoked and regionally and globally destabilising. It upends international norms, ignores sovereign territorial rights, and potentially creates an anarchic situation inside Venezuela itself.
It is chaos made policy. But this is the world we now live in – the world according to Donald Trump.
The direct attack on Venezuela marks an extraordinary, dangerous assertion of unfettered US power and comes in the same week that Trump threatened military strikes against another unpopular anti-western regime: that of Iran. It follows months of escalating US military, economic and political pressure on Maduro, including lethal maritime attacks on the boats of alleged drug traffickers."
After Maduros capture,Ministers in Venezuela quickly regrouped and called for resistance to the US and they have received backing from Russia and China.
From media
Venezuela’s Interior Minister Diosdado Cabello has called on citizens to remain calm following U.S. airstrikes on Caracas and surrounding areas, as Washington confirmed the capture of President Nicolás Maduro. Speaking from the capital after inspecting damage, Cabello described the strikes as a “criminal terrorist attack” targeting military facilities, infrastructure, and civilians. He said security forces and the military were fully deployed and prepared to respond to any threat to national stability. Footage from La Carlota airport showed scorched areas after explosions and low-flying aircraft were reported. Cabello urged the public to trust the country’s political and military leadership, warning against panic and framing the crisis as an attack on Venezuela’s sovereignty and peace.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gdb1lYPA1rs
Venezuela's Defence Minister, who was targetted in the strikes, has said all armed forces will be deployed across the country following the capture of the President and his wife by Donald Trump
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FcJsLVSvThM
https://news.sky.com/video/venezuelan-defence-minister-condemns-us-barbarity-1348991
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FcJsLVSvThM
The overnight attack on Caracas occurred after the US coercive force suffered a humiliating defeat in the Caribbean.
The crew of an Iranian oil tanker about to be seized by the US Coast Guard painted a Russian flag and the CG backed off in an event which Jeffrey Sachs is emblematic of the decline of US power.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1CwBOta94IM
The US has used its navy to project power around the world and enforce sanctions.
But when all the US aircraft carriers can be sunk in 20 minutes by Chinese hypersonic missiles as the Pentagon warned, the US cannot afford a military confrontation with Iran or its backers Russia and China, acknowledges Jeffrey Sachs.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/china-could-sink-entire-us-carrier-fleet-in-20-minutes-pentagon-chief-warns/ar-AA1CSCE3?ocid=msedgdhp&apiversion=v2&noservercache=1&domshim=1&renderwebcomponents=1&wcseo=1&batchservertelemetry=1&noservertelemetry=1
The incident is symptomatic of the massive decline of US military power in 2026, which is leading to the defeat of the Ukraine and Israel in the 12 day war.
Jeffrey Sachs it reveals a "fundamental shift in global power dynamics that American policymakers are still refusing to acknowledge. "
In an attempt to re assert its power on land, the Pentagon bombed Caracas overnight and captured the elected President Maduro and his wife in violation of every law.
However, the broad government in Venezuela, supporting the same policies as Maduro and supported by Russia and China, has pledged to resist the US military.
This has prompted Trump to threaten a "second wave" of strikes on Venezuela, President on "Fox & Friends" Saturday morning.
https://www.axios.com/2026/01/03/trump-maduro-venezuela-strikes
As mentined, it just takes a few hypersonic missiles to sink ships like the Iwo Jima and the aircraft carrier USS Gerald Ford, and the world will see how completely US coercive power has ended.
USS Iwo Jima (LHD-7) landing helicopter dock is a Wasp-class amphibious assault ship of the United States Navy. The ship was named for the Battle of Iwo Jima of World War II. The ship was commissioned in 2001 and is in service.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Iwo_Jima_(LHD-7)
From media
Jeffrey Sachs
US Navy Boarding Attempt Ends in Standoff Involving Russian-Flagged Vessel | Jeffrey Sachs
An Iranian oil tanker bound for Venezuela painted a Russian flag on its hull when the US Coast Guard approached—and America's entire $13 billion carrier strike group backed down. Economist Jeffrey Sachs exposes the humiliation: despite deploying USS George Washington with 90 aircraft under Operation Southern Spear for "total blockade," the US retreated after Russia's December 31st diplomatic request, and the vessel Bella 1 (now Marinera) remains free as of January 2nd, 2026. In the Caribbean—America's sphere for 200 years—Russia just demonstrated the template for evading sanctions: register under major power flag, get diplomatic backing, watch America retreat to avoid escalation. Discover why this single tanker reveals that American blockades are "theater," sanctions are unenforceable when challenged, and naval supremacy no longer translates to strategic objectives—the exact playbook China will use in the South China Sea.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hkjM5wGHn9s
0:00
There is a moment in the decline of
0:02
empires where what used to be routine
0:06
exercise of power becomes public
0:09
humiliation. And we just witnessed one
0:11
of those moments in the Caribbean Sea.
0:14
December 2025, the United States Coast
0:18
Guard attempted to board an Iranian oil
0:21
tanker headed to Venezuela and retreated
0:23
when the ship painted a Russian flag on
0:25
its hull and Moscow claimed the vessel
0:28
as Russian territory. This is not minor
0:31
maritime incident. This is demonstration
0:33
of how completely American coercive
0:36
power has eroded. Let me walk through
0:39
what actually happened because the
0:40
details reveal fundamental shift in
0:44
global power dynamics that American
0:46
policymakers are still refusing to
0:48
acknowledge. The vessel originally named
0:51
Bella 1 departed Iran bound for
0:54
Venezuela to load oil. Both countries
0:57
are under American sanctions. Both are
1:00
supposed to be economically isolated.
1:02
But sanctions only work if you can
1:04
enforce them. And what happened in late
1:07
December shows that America can no
1:09
longer enforce its own sanctions regime.
1:11
The US Coast Guard operating under
1:13
Operation Southern Spear attempted to
1:15
intercept the tanker, claiming it
1:17
operated without valid flag, making its
1:19
stateless vessel subject to seizure.
1:21
This is standard American practice. When
1:23
sanctioned countries try to evade
1:25
restrictions, America claims legal
1:27
authority to stop their ships. For
1:29
decades, this worked. Countries
1:31
complied. Ships stopped. Sanctions were
1:33
enforced. But not anymore. When American
1:35
vessels approached Bella 1, the crew did
1:38
something audacious. They painted a
1:40
Russian flag on the hull, communicated
1:42
by radio that they were now under
1:44
Russian authority, and almost
1:46
simultaneously, the ship appeared in
1:49
Russia's official maritime registry with
1:51
new name Marinara registered to Sochi.
1:54
This was not spontaneous improvisation.
1:56
This was coordinated operation between
1:59
ship operators and Russian government to
2:01
block American seizure. And it worked.
2:03
On December 31st, Russian government
2:06
made formal request that United States
2:08
stop pursuing the vessel in Atlantic
2:10
Ocean. American Coast Guard backed down
2:12
the ship as of January 2nd, 2026.
2:16
Remains free continuing toward Venezuela
2:19
carrying Iranian oil in direct violation
2:21
of American sanctions. Let me be very
2:24
clear about what this means. This is
2:26
public demonstration that American
2:27
sanctions are uninforcable. When Russia
2:30
chooses to protect vessels, the United
2:32
States will not challenge Russian
2:34
protection even in Caribbean traditional
2:36
sphere of American dominance, even under
2:39
sanctions that American presidents have
2:41
declared matters of national security.
2:43
This is catastrophic erosion of American
2:45
power. Now, let me show you why this
2:48
matters far beyond one oil tanker.
2:51
American sanctions are central pillar of
2:54
American global power. When America
2:56
cannot trade directly, it uses sanctions
2:59
to prevent others from trading. This
3:01
worked because America could enforce
3:03
compliance through financial pressure,
3:05
naval interdiction, diplomatic
3:07
isolation. Countries and companies
3:09
complied with sanctions, not because
3:11
they agreed with American policy, but
3:13
because costs of defiance were too high.
3:16
Now, Russia has demonstrated that costs
3:18
of defiance are manageable. Just
3:20
register vessel under Russian flag and
3:22
America backs down. This is not just
3:24
about Iran and Venezuela. This is about
3:27
every sanctioned country, every
3:29
restricted trade, every American attempt
3:31
to control global commerce. If Russia
3:34
can protect Iranian oil shipments to
3:37
Venezuela, Russia can protect any
3:40
shipment anywhere and America will back
3:42
down because alternative is military
3:45
confrontation with nuclear power over
3:47
oil tanker. American policymakers know
3:51
they cannot escalate to that level. So
3:53
they retreat and every retreat teaches
3:56
lesson to everyone watching. American
3:59
threats are hollow when challenged by
4:01
serious power. The specific
4:03
circumstances
4:05
make this even more humiliating for
4:07
America. Operation Southern Spear was
4:10
announced with massive fanfare. aircraft
4:12
carriers, F-35 fighters, naval blockade,
4:16
all designed to completely isolate
4:18
Venezuela, prevent oil export, starve
4:21
regime force collapse. Let me show you
4:23
what America deployed for this
4:25
operation. USS George Washington
4:28
aircraft carrier strike group with full
4:30
complement of destroyers, cruisers,
4:32
support vessels, 90 combat aircraft,
4:35
FA18 Super Hornets, F-35C stealth
4:39
fighters, EA18G
4:42
electronic warfare. This is overwhelming
4:45
conventional military power designed to
4:47
control every maritime approach to
4:49
Venezuela, monitoring every vessel,
4:52
intercepting suspicious traffic,
4:54
enforcing total isolation. This is not
4:56
symbolic deployment. This is full naval
4:59
blockade of the kind America has not
5:01
attempted since Cuban missile crisis.
5:03
And the stated objective was explicit
5:06
zero tolerance for sanctions violations,
5:08
complete economic isolation of Maduro
5:11
regime, forcing either regime change or
5:15
total capitulation. American officials
5:17
gave statements about ironclad
5:19
enforcement, about consequences for
5:21
violations, about determination to see
5:24
sanctions through this was maximum
5:26
pressure campaign backed by maximum
5:28
military force. Yet Iranian tanker
5:31
protected by Russia sails through
5:33
unmolested. What does this say about
5:35
American blockade? If you deploy
5:37
aircraft carrier 90 fighter jets, dozens
5:40
of warships announced total blockade and
5:43
cannot stop single oil tanker from Iran.
5:46
What exactly are you blockading? The
5:48
answer is you are blockading only those
5:50
vessels that choose to comply
5:51
voluntarily. Any vessel with major power
5:54
protection sails through freely. This
5:57
makes entire operation theater
5:59
impressive looking from distance
6:01
completely ineffective when tested.
6:03
Venezuela can import oil equipment
6:06
machinery can export oil gold diamonds
6:08
as long as Russia or China provide
6:10
protection. And both countries are
6:13
demonstrating willingness to do so. Not
6:15
because they care deeply about
6:16
Venezuela, but because they benefit from
6:19
demonstrating American impetence. Every
6:21
successful sanctions evasion teaches
6:24
lesson to everyone watching. American
6:26
power has limits. American threats are
6:28
negotiable. American blockades are
6:30
penetrable. This is devastating for
6:32
American strategic credibility because
6:35
blockades are supposed to be ultimate
6:37
expression of naval dominance. If you
6:39
control seas, you can blockade. If you
6:41
can blockade, you can isolate. If you
6:44
can isolate, you can compel. This was
6:46
logic of American naval supremacy for
6:49
decades. Now that logic is breaking down
6:52
because naval supremacy no longer
6:54
translates to blockade capability when
6:57
adversaries have tools to challenge
6:59
blockades without direct naval
7:01
confrontation, flag changes, diplomatic
7:03
protection, implicit escalation threats,
7:06
all achieve same result as naval
7:08
victory. They allow vessels to pass
7:10
unmolested but at fraction of cost. This
7:13
is asymmetric challenge to American
7:16
naval power. America spends billions
7:19
maintaining carrier strike groups.
7:20
Adversaries spend nothing registering
7:22
vessels under protective flags and
7:24
achieve comparable results preventing
7:27
American interdiction. This is strategic
7:29
judo using American reluctance to
7:31
escalate against American blockade
7:33
attempts. And it works precisely because
7:36
American conventional superiority is
7:38
militarily unusable against nuclear
7:40
powers. America could sink Bella 1
7:43
easily. Carrier strike group could
7:45
destroy vessel in minutes. But what
7:48
then? Russia has claimed vessel as
7:50
territory sinking. It would be act of
7:52
war against Russia. Does America want
7:56
war with Russia over Venezuelan oil
7:59
shipments? Obviously not. So vessel
8:01
sails free and blockade is revealed as
8:03
empty threat. Now consider the arguments
8:06
each side is making. United States
8:08
claims vessel was stateless operating
8:11
without flag. Therefore subject to
8:13
seizure. This is legal. Fig leaf vessel
8:16
had Iranian registration initially then
8:18
acquired Russian registration. American
8:21
argument is that registration was
8:23
fraudulent done specifically to evade
8:26
sanctions which is true but irrelevant
8:28
because Russia recognizes registration
8:31
as legitimate and America will not
8:33
challenge Russian sovereignty claim over
8:35
registered vessel. Russia claims vessel
8:38
is Russian territory. Any seizure would
8:40
be pirary. This is also legal fiction.
8:43
Russia did not own vessel until
8:44
Americans tried to seize it.
8:46
registration was obvious evasion tactic.
8:50
But Russia backs the fiction with real
8:52
power willingness to confront America
8:55
over the vessel and that makes legal
8:57
fiction operational reality because
8:59
America will not call bluff. This is the
9:02
gap between American legal claims and
9:04
American operational capability. America
9:06
can claim legal authority over anything.
9:08
But if America will not enforce those
9:10
claims with actual power, the claims are
9:13
meaningless. and Russia is
9:15
systematically demonstrating that
9:17
American claims are indeed meaningless.
9:19
When challenged, the geopolitical
9:21
implications cascade outward in ways
9:23
that fundamentally reshape global order.
9:26
Iran sees that American sanctions can be
9:29
evaded with Russian protection. This is
9:31
not theoretical knowledge. This is
9:34
demonstrated operational capability.
9:36
Iranian oil can reach Venezuelan
9:39
refineries despite American carrier
9:42
strike group enforcing blockade. What
9:44
does this mean for Iranian calculations
9:48
about nuclear program about regional
9:50
activities about defiance of American
9:53
pressure? It means Iran can proceed with
9:56
strategic objectives knowing that Russia
9:59
provides effective shield against
10:01
American economic warfare. This
10:03
emboldens Iranian policy across Middle
10:06
East, support for proxies in Syria,
10:09
Iraq, Yemen, Lebanon, development of
10:12
missile capabilities, nuclear
10:14
enrichment, all can continue because
10:16
Iranian oil revenues can be sustained
10:19
through Russian protected shipments.
10:21
Venezuela sees even more clearly that
10:24
American blockade is manageable. This
10:26
allows Maduro regime to consolidate
10:30
power rather than facing collapse from
10:33
economic isolation. Oil exports can
10:36
continue generating revenue. Imports of
10:39
food, medicine, equipment can continue
10:41
sustaining. Population regime remains
10:44
economically viable indefinitely. This
10:47
is opposite of American strategic
10:49
objective. Operation Southern Spear was
10:52
supposed to strangle regime into
10:54
submission. Instead, it demonstrates
10:56
regime can survive American maximum
11:00
pressure as long as Russia or China
11:02
provide support and both are willing to
11:04
provide that support not out of
11:06
ideological alignment but because
11:08
undermining American sanctions serves
11:10
their strategic interests. North Korea
11:13
is watching with particular interest.
11:16
North Korea has survived decades of
11:18
sanctions through Chinese support.
11:20
primarily now Russia is demonstrating
11:23
alternative path direct confrontation
11:25
with American interdiction efforts and
11:28
American retreat. This teaches North
11:31
Korea that if Russia is willing to
11:33
protect vessels, North Korea can expand
11:36
trade beyond China, reducing dependence
11:40
on single partner and increasing
11:42
leverage in negotiations.
11:44
China is watching and recognizing
11:47
fundamental principle. American naval
11:49
dominance is contestable. If Russia can
11:52
protect vessels in Caribbean American uh
11:55
traditional sphere, China can protect
11:58
vessels in South China, sea Chinese
12:01
traditional sphere against American
12:02
interdiction. This is crucial because
12:05
American strategy in Pacific relies
12:07
heavily on ability to blockade China in
12:10
conflict cutting off oil imports from
12:12
Middle East maritime trade through
12:14
straits economic isolation forcing
12:17
capitulation. But if Russian flag change
12:20
tactic works in Caribbean, Chinese flag
12:23
will work in South China Sea and
12:25
American blockade capability dissolves
12:28
every country under American sanctions
12:30
is recalculating right now because
12:32
Russia just demonstrated proof of
12:35
concept for evading American economic
12:37
warfare. The method is simple and
12:40
replicable. register vessels under major
12:42
power flag, major power backs,
12:45
registration with diplomatic and
12:47
implicit military support. America backs
12:50
down to avoid escalation. Sanctions
12:53
become uninforcable. This is template
12:56
that can be applied globally and will be
12:59
now let me put this in historical
13:00
context because naval blockades have
13:04
decided outcomes of great power
13:06
competitions for centuries during
13:08
Napoleonic wars. British naval blockade
13:11
of continental Europe was decisive
13:13
factor in Napoleon's defeat could not
13:15
sustain war economy without maritime
13:18
trade during World War I. British
13:21
blockade of Germany starve central
13:23
powers into submission during World War
13:25
II. American submarine blockade of Japan
13:28
destroyed Japanese war economy before
13:30
atomic bombs fell. Blockade capability
13:33
has been fundamental to Anglo-American
13:35
power for 200 years. control of seize
13:38
mentability to isolate adversaries
13:41
economically and force compliance or
13:44
collapse. This power is now eroding not
13:47
because American Navy is weaker.
13:50
American Navy remains most powerful
13:52
afloat but because naval power no longer
13:55
translates to blockade capability in
13:58
world where adversaries have nuclear
14:00
weapons and are willing to challenge
14:02
American interdiction with escalation
14:04
threats. American Navy can sink any ship
14:07
but cannot afford to sink Russian flag
14:10
vessels. So Russian flag provides
14:12
immunity and blockade becomes
14:14
impossible. This is fundamental shift in
14:16
nature of naval power from absolute to
14:19
conditional. American ships still rule
14:21
waves but cannot use that rule to
14:23
achieve strategic objectives. When
14:25
opposed by nuclear armed adversaries
14:28
willing to challenge American actions,
14:30
this is doom loop for American sanctions
14:33
regime. The more countries evade
14:35
successfully, the less effective
14:37
sanctions become. The less effective
14:39
sanctions become, the more countries
14:42
attempt evasion until sanctions become
14:44
completely ineffective, except against
14:46
countries with no major power
14:48
protection. And we are watching this
14:50
collapse in real time. Now, contrast
14:52
American and Russian approaches to
14:54
power. America announced Operation
14:57
Southern Spear with massive publicity
14:59
deployed visible assets, aircraft
15:02
carriers, fighter jets, naval vessels
15:04
made explicit threats about consequences
15:07
of sanctions violations. This is
15:09
impressive display designed to
15:11
intimidate compliance. But when
15:14
challenged by Russia, America backed
15:16
down. So impressive display achieved
15:19
nothing except demonstrating that
15:22
American resolve is hollow. Russia, by
15:25
contrast, operates quietly, registers
15:28
vessel, makes diplomatic request, backs
15:31
claim with implicit threat of
15:33
escalation. No dramatic announcements,
15:36
no visible deployments, just quiet
15:38
assertion of sovereignty, and America
15:40
retreats. This shows fundamental
15:42
difference in strategic cultures.
15:45
America relies on overwhelming display
15:48
of capability, hoping intimidation will
15:51
prevent challenges. Russia relies on
15:53
willingness to escalate if challenged
15:56
and calls American bluff. When bluff is
15:58
called American, display proves
16:00
worthless because display is not backed
16:02
by actual willingness to fight. This is
16:05
pattern we see repeatedly. America makes
16:08
dramatic threats. Adversaries test
16:11
threats. America backs down to avoid
16:13
escalation. Adversaries learn that
16:16
American threats are manageable and
16:18
become bolder. This happened with Russia
16:21
over Ukraine. America threatened massive
16:24
consequences. Russia invaded anyway.
16:26
America imposed sanctions but avoided
16:29
direct military confrontation. Russia
16:32
learned that American threats have
16:33
limits. Same pattern with China over
16:36
Taiwan. America makes commitments. China
16:39
builds military. America avoids
16:41
confrontation. China becomes bolder now.
16:44
Same pattern with Iran and Venezuela.
16:46
America imposes blockade. Russia
16:49
challenges blockade. America backs down.
16:52
Iran and Venezuela learned that American
16:55
power is limited. The structural problem
16:58
is that America cannot risk military
17:01
confrontation with nuclear powers over
17:03
secondary interests and adversaries know
17:06
this. So they test American resolve on
17:09
secondary interests. And America
17:11
consistently retreats. Each retreat
17:14
teaches lesson about American limits and
17:16
emboldens further challenges. What makes
17:18
this incident particularly significant
17:21
is the location. Caribbean Sea is
17:23
traditionally American Lake. Monroe
17:26
Doctrine declared Western Hemisphere,
17:28
American sphere of influence for two
17:30
centuries. No major power challenged
17:33
American dominance in Caribbean. Now
17:36
Russia is operating openly in Caribbean
17:39
waters, protecting vessels, defying
17:41
American blockades, and America is
17:44
accepting it. This is not just tactical
17:47
defeat. This is strategic retreat from
17:50
region. America has dominated for 200
17:53
years. If America cannot enforce its
17:55
will in Caribbean, where can it enforce
17:58
its will? South China Sea. Definitely
18:00
not. Persian Gulf increasingly not
18:03
Eastern Europe. Clearly not what remains
18:05
of American global dominance. If
18:08
traditional sphere of influence is now
18:10
contested and America backs down when
18:12
tested, the answer is increasingly
18:14
clear. American dominance is largely
18:17
gone. What remains is pretense and
18:19
inertia. Countries still behave as if
18:22
America dominates because they have for
18:24
decades. But when anyone actually tests
18:26
American power, they discover it is
18:28
hollow. And each test reveals this to
18:31
more countries, accelerating the
18:33
recognition that American dominance is
18:35
over. Now consider American domestic
18:38
political implications. American public
18:40
has been told that sanctions are
18:42
effective tools that military
18:44
deployments demonstrate strength that
18:46
adversaries fear American power. But
18:48
Iranian tanker sailing through American
18:51
blockade under Russian flag tells
18:53
different story. It tells story of
18:56
American impotence, inability to enforce
18:58
stated policy even in region adjacent to
19:02
American territory. How does American
19:05
leadership explain this? They will
19:06
probably ignore it because acknowledging
19:08
the implications as politically
19:10
impossible. Admitting that Russia can
19:12
openly defy American blockade in
19:15
Caribbean would force questions about
19:17
American global strategy that American
19:19
political system cannot handle. So
19:22
incident will be minimized or ignored.
19:24
American media will barely cover it.
19:26
American public will remain unaware
19:29
while foreign policy establishment
19:32
quietly adjusts to new reality of
19:34
diminished American power. But foreign
19:37
governments are paying close attention
19:39
because they need accurate assessment of
19:42
American capability, not American
19:44
rhetoric. And this incident provides
19:47
clear data. American blockades can be
19:50
challenged. American sanctions can be
19:52
evaded. American threats will not be
19:55
enforced militarily when opposed by
19:57
nuclear power. This is information that
20:00
shapes every country's strategic
20:02
calculations about how to deal with
20:05
America. The timing is also significant.
20:08
This happened during transition between
20:10
administrations. Operation Southern
20:12
Spear was Trump policy. The retreat
20:15
happens as new administration prepares
20:17
to take office. This shows that American
20:20
strategic weakness transcends particular
20:23
presidents. Both administrations face
20:26
same constraints. Nuclear powers can
20:29
challenge American sanctions and America
20:31
will back down to avoid military
20:33
confrontation. This is not about Biden
20:36
versus Trump. This is about structural
20:38
limits on American power in multipolar
20:41
world where adversaries have
20:42
capabilities that prevent American
20:44
escalation dominance. The incident also
20:47
reveals coordination between Russia,
20:49
Iran, Venezuela. This is not random
20:52
coincidence. Russia protecting Iranian
20:54
vessel bound for Venezuela. This is
20:57
coordinated defiance of American policy
20:59
by three countries under American
21:02
sanctions, working together to undermine
21:05
American coercive power and succeeding.
21:08
This is exactly the pattern American
21:10
strategists have warned about sanctioned
21:12
countries forming coalition to resist
21:14
American pressure, supporting each
21:16
other, sharing resources, coordinating
21:19
challenges until American sanctions
21:21
regime collapses. We are watching that
21:23
coalition operate successfully in real
21:26
time and American response is to retreat
21:29
because alternative is military
21:31
confrontation with multiple adversaries
21:34
simultaneously which America cannot win.
21:37
The final question is whether this
21:39
incident represents isolated setback or
21:42
systemic collapse. I believe it is
21:45
systemic because underlying dynamics
21:47
favor adversaries. Russia, China, Iran,
21:51
North Korea, Venezuela all benefit from
21:55
undermining American sanctions. All have
21:57
incentive to coordinate challenges. All
22:01
have capability to challenge
22:03
effectively. And America cannot respond
22:06
to all challenges simultaneously with
22:08
military force. So America must choose
22:11
which challenges to confront and which
22:14
to accept. And every challenge accepted
22:16
teaches lesson about American limits
22:18
until everyone recognizes that American
22:20
dominance is finished and adjusts
22:22
accordingly. The oil tanker Bella 1 now
22:24
marinara is small vessel in vast ocean.
22:27
But it carries enormous symbolic
22:29
significance. It demonstrates that
22:31
American sanctions are uninforcable,
22:33
that American blockades are penetrable,
22:36
that American threats are hollow when
22:38
challenged by serious power, and that
22:40
American decline is accelerating as more
22:42
countries recognize the new reality and
22:45
act accordingly. This is how he
22:46
hijgemony ends, not with dramatic
22:48
military defeat, but with accumulated
22:51
small humiliations that reveal emperor
22:53
has no clothes and teach everyone
22:55
watching that American power is no
22:57
longer what it pretends to E.
No comments:
Post a Comment